May 03, 2018 11:09 AM IST | Source: Moneycontrol.com

Sell USDINR; target of 66.82 - 66.70: ICICI Direct

ICICI Direct expect the USDINR to meet resistance at higher levels. Utilise upsides in the pair to initiate short positions.

Broker Research

ICICI Direct's currency report on USDINR

Spot Currency

he rupee was almost unchanged as a rise in domestic equities is helping it offset pressure from redemption in domestic markets as well as a broad based USD rally The USD ended with mild positive gains as a non - event Fed May monetary policy meeting reiterated recent growth in US inflation. The Fed said inflation is almost near goals cementing a rate hike the Fed is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 bps in the June policy meeting Major currencies continue to bear the brunt from a recent reversal in the USD.

Benchmark yield

Sovereign bonds reversed losses as yields cooled mildly. Overall, markets would keenly watch further moves in crude oil prices as well as domestic monsoon development US 10 - year ended slightly higher at 2. 97 % post the Fed’s May monetary policy meeting. US interest rate hike prospects remain firm owing to the recent surge in inflation and receding geopolitical concerns.

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Currency futures on NSE

The near - month dollar - rupee May contract on the NSE was at 66. 87. The May contract open interest increased 5. 40 % from the previous day We expect the USDINR to meet resistance at higher levels .Utilise upsides in the pair to initiate short positions.

Intra-day strategy

USDINR May futures contract (NSE) View: Bearish on USDINR
Sell USDINR in the range of 66.93 - 66.99 Market Lot: USD1000
Target: 66.82 / 66.70 Stop Loss: 67.11
Support Resistance
S1/ S2: 66.80 / 66.60 R1/R2:67.05 /67.15

 

 

 

 

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