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Oil prices rise on Middle East tension, falling Venezuela output

Reuters  |  SINGAPORE 

By Gloystein

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - prices rose by almost 1 percent on Tuesday, lifted by a weak dollar, tensions in the and concerns of a further fall in Venezuelan output.

U.S. Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $62.61 a barrel at 0744 GMT, up 55 cents, or 0.9 percent, from their previous close.

Brent crude futures were at $66.53 per barrel, up 48 cents, or 0.7 percent.

"Tensions between and gave prices some support," said Sukrit Vijayakar, director of Trifecta in a note.

Futures traders also pointed to general dollar weakness as a supporter for crude.

A weaker greenback makes imports of dollar-denominated crude cheaper for countries using other currencies at home, potentially spurring demand.

Worries about Venezuela's tumbling crude production also supported markets.

The International Energy Agency said last week that Venezuela, where an economic crisis has cut production by almost half since early 2005 to well below 2 million barrels per day (bpd), was "clearly vulnerable to an accelerated decline", and that such a disruption could tip global markets into deficit.

Still, surging U.S. production, which has risen by more than a fifth since mid-2016, to 10.38 million bpd, has been looming over markets.

U.S. output is now higher than that of top exporter Only produces more, at around 11 million bpd, although U.S. output is expected to overtake Russia's later this year as well.

Soaring U.S. output, as well as rising output in and Brazil, is undermining efforts by the dominated (OPEC) to curb supplies and bolster prices.

Rising U.S. output isn't just being refined at home either, as WTI's widening discount to Brent makes U.S. crude exports attractive.

"Spot Brent prices averaged $3.36 per barrel more than WTI prices in 2017 compared with just $0.40 per barrel more in 2016, providing a price incentive to export U.S. into the international market," said Matt Stanley, a at in a note.

Brent's current premium over WTI is almost $4 per barrel.

With U.S. increasingly making its way into the world, many analysts expect global markets to flip from slight undersupply in 2017 and early this year into oversupply later in 2018.

(Reporting by Gloystein; editing by Richard Pullin)

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Tue, March 20 2018. 13:18 IST
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