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Markets Live: ASX jumps back over 6000 after US jobs data

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Small and microcaps investor Microequities Asset Management is seeking an Australian Securities Exchange listing which would value it at more than John Sevior's Airlie Funds Management.

In a sign of the times, Microequities chief investment officer Carlos Gil and his co-investors have kicked off plans to list their high net worth investor-focused funds management business with a $106.4 million market cap next month.

The listing would cap a remarkable rise for what Gil started as a specialist microcap equities research house in 2006 before moving into funds management in 2009. The move coincided with the start of a highly profitable bull market for microcap investors.

Microequities now has $442 million in funds under management (as at December 31), split across four open-ended equities funds and a handful of closed end fund such as its $25 million venture capital trust.

The deal values Microequities at 11.2-times last year's profit. Last year was a particularly strong one for the manager, thanks to a big increase in performance fees. And in the absence of FY18 forecasts, the question is whether the sugar hit is repeatable.

There will be plenty of industry interest in Microequities' fee structure and particularly its performance fees. Three of its four mainstay funds are subject to 20 per cent annual performance fees on a 5 per cent absolute hurdle, and management fees at around 1.8 per cent.

Read more here

Carlos Gil of Microequities Asset Management.

Carlos Gil of Microequities Asset Management.

Billionaire Solomon Lew has fared much better with skateboards and streetwear over the past 12 months than with department stores.

Mr Lew's corporate vehicle Poly Town is the fourth-largest shareholder in ASX-listed Globe International and that investment has produced a return of more than 20 per cent in the past year, while his investment in ailing Myer is now down 64 per cent over the same time.

Mr Lew, through the ASX-listed Premier Investments, has been waging war on Myer since buying a 10.8 per cent of Myer in March, 2017 at $1.15 a share but an alarming downturn in sales and profits at the department store group has sent the share price languishing to around 43¢ and resulted in it being removed from the S&P/ASX200 index.

Globe, which sells skateboard equipment, streetwear and a fast-growing brand of fashionable workwear called FXD, has experienced solid gains to $1.25, from $1.04 a year ago in a business where margins have been growing.

Poly Town has been on the share register of Globe International for 14 years.

Globe is controlled by three Hill brothers, who own a combined 69 per cent and fund managers believe it is a prime candidate for a privatisation because of a lack of liquidity and a tightly-held share register.

That was underlined a week ago when Stephen Hill, one of the founders of the company, acquired an extra $44,000 worth of Globe shares on market to lift his holding for the first time since March 2015.

Stephen Hill now holds 30.3 per cent of Globe, up from his previous stake of 30.21 per cent.

Simon Evans reports

Solomon Lew's family investment in skateboard and streetwear firm Globe have brought better returns over the past year than Myer.

Solomon Lew's family investment in skateboard and streetwear firm Globe have brought better returns over the past year than Myer.

Photo: Georgia Matts

Germany's Deutsche Bank plans to raise as much as 1.8 billion euros ($US2.2 billion) in an initial public offering of its asset-management unit, a key pillar of the lender's turnaround strategy.

Deutsche Bank will offer 40 million shares in DWS at 30 euros to 36 euros apiece, with the potential sale of a further 10 million shares in an overallotment and upsize option, the bank said in a statement late Sunday.

Nippon Life Insurance agreed to acquire a 5 per cent stake in DWS in the IPO at the issue price. The offering values the asset manager at 6 billion euros to 7.2 billion euros, with the first day of trading expected on March 23.

A successful offering of DWS after a surge in market volatility would mark an important achievement for Deutsche Bank Chief Executive Officer John Cryan, who proposed the sale a year ago to help bolster the lender's capital.

The unit - headed by Nicolas Moreau - will also gain more independence and flexibility for acquisitions at a time when firms are under pressure to expand in the asset-management business.

"Key attractions" of DWS are its diversified portfolio across many asset classes and global scale, Barclays analyst Daniel Garrod wrote in a client note in late February. A return to net money outflows and failure to cut costs are major risks to the business, he said.

The unit has also had a mixed performance across regions. While assets under management in Germany have been increasing, with a particularly strong jump in the second quarter of last year, its US funds have yet to recover from massive outflows suffered in 2016.

DWS has about 700 billion euros under management and was expected to be worth between 6 billion euros and 8 billion euros once it trades, people familiar with the matter had said before the announcement.

- Bloomberg

The Deutsche Bank headquarters in Frankfurt.

The Deutsche Bank headquarters in Frankfurt.

Photo: Michael Probst.

The ASX jumped in early trading at the start of the week, lifted after US jobs data and indications that US president Donald Trump will exempt Australia from tariffs on steel and aluminium imports.

The S&P/ASX 200 index rose 62 points, or 1 per cent, at 6025 while the All Ordinaries climbed by the same amount in points and percentage terms to trade at 6130. The Australian dollar rose 0.2 per cent to US78.61¢.

US markets closed out the week with strong gains as the S&P500 jumped 1.7 per cent after the jobs data indicated that wages are contained and that the Fed is likely to keep raising interest rates at its previously-indicated rate.

In Australia, both of the market's heavyweight sectors - the banks and miners - gained ground on Monday. BHP climbed 2.5 per cent, CBA rose 0.7 per cent, ANZ lifted 1.2 per cent and Rio TInto advanced 2.5 per cent.

Gold miner Newcrest fell 4.8 per cent, however, after it detailed that it will likely downgrade its gold production guidance after a slip in a dam wall at one of its mines.

McGrath shares were down 2.3 per cent after the property group cut its full year earnings guidance by half.

Best and worst performers.

Best and worst performers.

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Embattled property group McGrath has cut its full year earnings guidance by half, saying the impact of reduced sales volumes has affected the company more significantly than previously contemplated.

The company expects to generate underlying full-year earnings of between $5 million and $5.5 million, down from between $10.6 million and $11.6 million announced in January.

"It is important that the market is aware of the right baseline financial position that appropriately reflects the current status of the McGrath business and trading conditions," newly appointed chief executive Geoff Lucas said on Monday.

Geoff Lucas of McGrath.

Geoff Lucas of McGrath.

Photo: Ryan Stuart

Risks are building in Australia's credit markets, says a key international finance group that is raising warning signs about the potential for stress in the banking system.

Researchers at the Bank for International Settlements, which is owned by 60 central banks, looked at four measures that are designed to raise early alarms before financial vulnerabilities may emerge.

In the latest review, three of those measures – Australia's debt-service ratio, household debt service ration and cross-border claims – are coded amber, meaning they exceed a threshold that points to a high risk of a banking crisis in the coming years.

Central bankers failed to spot the 2007-09 global meltdown in banking and have since looked at ways to spot future crises earlier and take preventive action.

Combining indicators with movements in property prices improves the performance of indicators and, when applied to economies today, they point to the build-up of risks in a number of countries, the BIS review said.

The study looked at the credit-to-GDP gap, the debt service ratio, household debt service ratio, and cross-border claims to GDP.

Australia flashed amber in three of the four areas, while Canada flashed red in two and amber in the other two. China and Russia flashed red in two areas.

Hyun Song Shin, the BIS' head of research, cautioned however that tougher bank capital rules introduced since the crisis should be taken into account, and that amber or red warnings were only a starting point for a closer look at vulnerabilities.

The Bank of International Settlements says bank risks are building up in some countries.

The Bank of International Settlements says bank risks are building up in some countries.

Photo: Arnd Wiegmann/Reuters

Newcrest says it will take a financial hit from the dam wall breach at its NSW goldmine Cadia but it is still too early to say how big it will be.

Production at the Cadia mine was halted at the weekend following a breach at the tailings dam but Newcrest says there has been no further movement in the dam wall since late Friday.

Newcrest, which says it does not use substances such as mercury, cyanide and arsenic at its biggest and lowest cost mine, and will update its production, capital and cost guidance following further recovery work at the site.

Newcrest said it will take a hit from a dam wall breach.

Newcrest said it will take a hit from a dam wall breach.

Photo: LUKE MACGREGOR

Australian shares are poised to rise to start the week as the latest US wage data dampened worries about a faster pace of rate hikes.

The February US payrolls report, released over the weekend, showed that American wages lifted at a more muted pace last month, easing concerns about what was interpreted as a marked spike higher in January.

"Overall, the February payroll print is likely to be interpreted by markets as a Goldilocks print — not strong enough to encourage a move higher in rate hike pricing but not weak enough for markets to price out hikes," TD Securities head of global macro strategy Michael Hanson and two colleagues said in a note.

"The market was pricing in 3 rate hikes in 2018 and 1.5 hikes in 2019 into the meeting, and this pricing is unlikely to change materially in the near-term," the TD strategists said.

That more dovish outlook for rates, or that the US Federal Reserve is lifting rates at the right pace, encouraged investors to leap back into US equities.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 440 points, retopping the 25,000 point mark in a broad rally. The Dow's gain was 1.8 per cent, the S&P 500 gained 1.7 per cent and the Nasdaq closed 1.8 per cent higher.

Volatility was relegated, with the VIX dropping 11.5 per cent to 14.64 — its lowest since February 1.

Traders Michael Milano, left, and Patrick Casey work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

Traders Michael Milano, left, and Patrick Casey work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

Photo: RICHARD DREW
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All the key market moves in numbers:

  • SPI futures up 57 points or 0.1% to 6020
  • AUD +0.8% to 78.49 US cents
  • On Wall St: Dow +1.8%, S&P 500 +1.7%, Nasdaq +1.8%
  • In New York, BHP +1.3% Rio +0.3%
  • In Europe: Stoxx 50 +0.2%, FTSE +0.3%, CAC +0.4%, DAX -0.1%
  • Spot gold +0.2% to $US1323.93 an ounce
  • Brent crude +3.1% to $US65.59 a barrel
  • US oil +3.4% to $US62.16 a barrel
  • Iron ore -4.3% to $US70.09 a tonne
  • Dalian iron ore -1% to 487 yuan
  • LME aluminium +0.7% to $US2120 a tonne
  • LME copper +1.9% to $US6962 a tonne
  • 10-year bond yield: US 2.90%, Germany 0.64%, Australia 2.78%

Stocks to watch:

  • ​Aurizon Upgraded to Outperform at Credit Suisse
  • BHP Upgraded to Buy at Investec
  • Inghams Downgraded to Neutral at UBS
  • Ex-dividend: APN Outdoor, Caltex Australia, Independence Group

Good morning and welcome to the Markets Live blog for Monday.

Your editor today is Sarah Turner.

This blog is not intended as investment advice.

Fairfax Media with wires.