Preview: Japan December machinery orders seen slipping temporarily, upward trend intact

Reuters  |  TOKYO 

(Reuters) - Japan's core were projected to slip in December for the first time in three months, but economists expect any fall to be temporary and unlikely to break the upward trend, a poll showed on Friday.

Core orders, a highly volatile data series regarded as an indicator of capital spending in six to nine months, were seen likely to fall 2.3 percent in December from November, the poll of 16 economists found.

The expected fall would follow 5.7 percent growth in November and 5.0 percent in October.

The poll found core orders, which exclude those for ships and from electric power utilities, were expected to rise an annual 2.2 percent in December.

"We keep our view that capital spending will gradually increase in the first half of 2018 on strong corporate profits and a growing shortage of capacity among manufacturers and non-manufacturers," Yuichiro Nagai, at Barclays Securities Japan, said in the survey.

Analysts noted firms' capital spending will also be supported by demand for in a very tight labour market, orders related to work on the 2020 Olympics, and negative interest rates.

"Private firms' capital spending appears to be entering the phase of self-sustained recovery," said Takeshi Minami, chief at

The Cabinet Office will release the data at 8:50 a.m. time on Feb. 15 (2350 GMT Feb. 14).

The poll also found that economists expect the Bank of Japan's corporate goods price index (CGPI), due on Tuesday, to have risen an annual 2.7 percent in January, down from the 3.1 percent growth posted in December, as price gains in and receded.

The CGPI, which measures the prices companies charge each other for their goods and services, was likely to rise 0.2 percent from the previous month, the poll found.

A separate poll found the economy was expected to grow for an eighth straight quarter in October-December on robust exports and solid domestic demand.

The GDP data is due on Wednesday at 8:50 am time, 2350 GMT on Tuesday.

(Reporting by Kaori Kaneko; Editing by Eric Meijer)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, February 09 2018. 12:08 IST