This Twitter Analyst Saw In December What Few Others Did

Twitter Inc (NYSE: TWTR) reported a surprise earnings beat Thursday, catching some investors off guard. But at least one notable Wall Street wasn't surprised and was recommending investors buy the stock in 2017.

The Analyst

Aegis Capital's Victor Anthony.

The Thesis

The case for buying Twitter's shares was apparent to Anthony in December of last year when he upgraded the stock's rating to buy, he said during CNBC's "Squawk Box" segment. The analyst's channel checks at the time found that advertising dollars are "flowing back to Twitter."

Anthony's checks also suggested that Twitter's owned-and-operated ad growth would turn positive in mid-2018, but it did so earlier than expected in Q4 by a high-single-digit.

"We are ahead of expectations," Anthony said. "That's a material positive and that's why the stock is up 20 percent."

Twitter also benefited in the quarter from multiple advertisers being "forced out" of Facebook Inc (NASDAQ: FB)'s platform due to high prices, Anthony said. But Twitter's strong report was more due to operational efficiencies, he said. 

Twitter's earnings report could be considered a "huge inflection point" moving forward, Anthony said. While investors wouldn't be faulted for wanting Twitter's stock to return to its all-time highs near $75 per share, a more reasonable near-term objective would be the stock's inclusion in the S&P 500 index — but only if the company can "keep up this pace of profitability over the next several quarters."

Price Action

Shares of Twitter gained 30 percent after Thursday's market open and hit a new multi-year high of $35. Shares were trading up 18.47 percent at $31.88 at the time of publication. 

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