Groundhog Day: How the Punxsutawney Phil prediction at Gobbler's Knob forecasts the weather

Groundhog Club handler Ron Ploucha, left, holds Punxsutawney Phil
Groundhog Club handler Ron Ploucha, left, holds Punxsutawney Phil Credit: Gene J. Puskar

Groundhog Day, the event which the the famous 1993 film starring Bill Murray was based on, is almost here. But what is the day actually based on?

Its centuries-old history draws on Christmas traditions, a North American marmot, and the mysterious-sounding 'Inner Circle'. Here is everything you need to know about the day - and about its star, Punxsutawney Phil.

What is Groundhog Day?

It is a traditional holiday celebrated in the US and Canada. According to folklore, if the weather is cloudy when a groundhog emerges from its burrow on February 2 ­– Candlemas – then spring will come early.

If it is sunny, the groundhog (a North American marmot with a greyish brown coat, weighing up to 9lb – in case you weren't sure) will see its shadow and retreat back inside, and winter will continue for another six weeks. 

Based on the German lore that badgers are a forecasting animal, the tradition began as...

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