Europe casts a wary eye on China's Silk Road plans

AFP  |  Paris 

Depending on who you ask in Europe, China's colossal East-West infrastructure programme is either an opportunity or a threat -- and when French visits next week, will be watching to see how keen he is to jump on board.

Since launched the plan in 2013, the hugely ambitious initiative to connect and by road, rail and sea has elicited both enormous interest and considerable anxiety.


"It's the most important issue in international relations for the years to come, and will be the most important point during Emmanuel Macron's visit," said Barthelemy Courmont, a expert at French think-tank Iris.

The USD 1 trillion project is billed as a modern revival of the ancient Silk Road that once carried fabric, spices, and a wealth of other goods in both directions.

Known in as "One Belt One Road", the plans would see gleaming new road and built through Central and beyond, and new maritime routes stretching through the and

would develop roads, ports and rail lines through 65 countries representing an estimate 60 percent of the world's population and a third of its economic output.

Macron, who heads to for a three-day state visit on Sunday, will notably be accompanied by some 50 company chiefs keen to do business with the Asian powerhouse.

So far has been cautious on the Silk Road plan, but Courmont said Chinese leaders were "waiting for a clear position" from at a time when they view the young leader as an "engine" for growth in

"If takes a decision on how to tackle the Chinese initiative, all of will follow," Courmont predicted.

But, as Courmont acknowledges, is divided on what to make of China's ambitions.

The continent could potentially benefit handsomely from increased trade over the coming decades, but in some corners there is suspicion that it masks an attempted influence grab.

"They are notably asking themselves about the geopolitical consequences of this project in the long-term," Alice Ekman, who covers at the of International Relations, said of and

In Central and Eastern the programme has been met with altogether more enthusiasm, given the huge infrastructure investment that could bring to the poorer end of the continent.

"Some consider the awakening of and as a threat," Hungary's told a summit in in November which gathered with 16 Central and Eastern European countries.

"For us, it's a huge opportunity," he said, with using the summit to announce three billion euros of investment in projects including a Belgrade-railway line.

Bogdan Goralczyk, of the Centre for at the University of Warsaw, noted there were divisions even within eastern Europe, with hesitant due to its right- wing government's "strong anti-communist stance".

Others to the west have made little effort to hide their concern.

Former Danish fretted in a column for Germany's Zeit newspaper that "will wake up only when it's too late, and when swathes of central and eastern Europe's infrastructure are dependent on "

The former NATO noted that -- a major recipient of Chinese largesse -- had in June blocked an EU declaration condemning Chinese rights abuses.

It came just months after Athens' Piraeus port, one of the biggest in the world, passed under Chinese control.

Germany, Europe's biggest economy, is favourable to Chinese investment, but has reservations.

"If we do not develop a strategy in the face of China, it will succeed in dividing Europe," Sigmar Gabriel warned in August.

is meanwhile seeking to "rebalance" relations with during Macron's trip, according to his office -- eyeing a trade deficit of 30 billion euros, its biggest with any partner.

"Our would prefer a win-win situation. Why not? On the condition that it's not the same party that wins twice," French said Thursday.

"It is not France's intention to block China," he said.

"But we should establish a partnership based on reciprocity when it comes to the opening of markets.

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Sun, January 07 2018. 10:25 IST