SportsPulse: USA TODAY Sports' NFL experts tell you who's going to win the biggest matchups of Week 16. USA TODAY Sports
Here's how the NFL playoff picture looks after Week 16's early afternoon games on Sunday.
AFC
1. y-New England Patriots (12-3): AFC East champion. Losses by the Steelers and Jaguars will clinch home-field advantage for New England. The Patriots will head into the final weekend with at least a first-round bye if either Pittsburgh or Jacksonville loses in Week 16.
2. y-Pittsburgh Steelers (11-3): AFC North champion. They can snatch a bye by beating the Texans on Christmas if the Jags first lose on Sunday. However if Jacksonville wins and Pittsburgh doesn't, the Steelers will drop to the No. 3 seed.
3. y-Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4): AFC South champion. Tennessee's loss makes the Jags AFC South champs for the first time. Jacksonville is still viable for a bye (and even home-field advantage) if they keep winning and get help.
4. y-Kansas City Chiefs (9-6): AFC West champion. They wrapped up the division Sunday, marking the first time they've done that in successive seasons.
5. Baltimore Ravens (9-6): Wild card No. 1. Their end-of-season schedule has them sitting pretty with the lowly Colts their latest victim on Saturday. Beat the Bengals in Week 17, and Baltimore is assured a wild-card spot.
6. Tennessee Titans (8-7): Wild card No. 2. Their 7-4 record in AFC games currently gives them the tiebreaker over the Chargers and Bills.
In the hunt: Los Angeles Chargers (8-7), Buffalo Bills (8-7)
x-clinched playoff berth
y-clinched division
NFC
1. yz-Philadelphia Eagles (12-2): One more win or Minnesota loss will keep the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field through January.
2. y-Minnesota Vikings (12-3): NFC North champion. The dream is to become the first team to play a Super Bowl on its home field. But even after taking care of the Packers on Saturday night, the Vikings need a lot of help to get the No. 1 seed — and still have work to do before scoring a bye.
3. y-Los Angeles Rams (11-4): NFC West champion. They're division kings for the first time since 2003.
4. x-New Orleans Saints (11-4): NFC South leader. They're going to the playoffs and just a win away from winning the division.
5. x-Carolina Panthers (11-4): Wild card No. 1. They're into the field as well and still have an outside shot at the NFC South crown and a first-round bye.
6. Atlanta Falcons (9-6): Wild card No. 2. Sunday's loss at New Orleans means they can no longer retain NFC South crown. But Atlanta is still just a win shy from punching its return ticket to postseason.
In the hunt: Seattle Seahawks (8-6), Dallas Cowboys (8-6)
x-clinched playoff berth
y-clinched division
z-clinched first-round bye
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Follow Nate Davis on Twitter @ByNateDavis
PHOTOS: Week 16 NFL action
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