Guj verdict a warning bell for BJP; Cong fails to tap people's

Press Trust of India  |  Ahmedabad 

Although the scraped through to an victory in despite a stiff challenge posed by a resurgent Congress, political observers feel that the Assembly poll outcome has sounded a "warning bell" for the on a host of issues.

They also feel that though the saw emerging as "a matured leader", the opposition party lost a "golden chance" to convert people's anger against the into an electoral victory.


The was a battle of prestige for the given that both Modi and hail from the state. The two leaders personally led a high-pitched campaign to check Gandhi making inroads into the state, coinciding with his elevation as the

Although the saffron camp managed to win 99 seats in the 182-member assembly, its tally dipped from 115 in the last elections, much lower than the 150-plus seats it had hoped for.

The bagged just seven more than the magic figure of 92, while the and its allies lifted 80 seats, only 12 short of a simple majority.

According to analysts, the outcome indicated that there was a tide against the in

"People of have put the on notice. The message is clear that it cannot take people for granted," told

Although winning the elections was perceived to be not an uphill task for the BJP, this time there were several key factors at play that were complicated as compared to the previous elections.

The state elections were held here after three consecutive years of deficient rains that caused widespread distress among the rural populace, economic slowdown due to demonetisation and GST and the anti-incumbency after 22 years of the rule.

Lack of credible leaders having a mass appeal in the after Modi's shift to the Centre as was also a major reason that worked against the party.

Following the unrest by the Patidar agitation in 2015 and the Dalit community's protest last year after the Una flogging incident, the party felt that the change of was necessary in the state and was made the chief minister in place of Anandiben Patel in August last year, more than a year before the state went to polls.

Political observers, however, feel that the failed to fully use the political situation to its benefit in the elections.

"Despite people's dissatisfaction, the could not convert the golden chance to its benefit as it lacked a credible face," Shah said.

The results showed that while the maintained its sway over the urban voters it fared poorly in rural pockets.

Still, many feel that to a great extent it was Modi's charisma that saved the day for the

"Economic performance of the government was overshadowed in urban areas by 'Gujarati asmita' (pride) and charisma of Modi, who alone could pull this elections for the BJP," Shah said.

Hari Desai, another analyst, said he saw the outcome as having sounded a "warning bell" for the and emerging as a "very mature leader".

"This surely is a warning bell for the and its performance in the state. The party has been brought down to the ground. They (BJP) won the not on development, but on emotional appeal," Desai said.

"The other thing that comes out of this is that has revived itself in has emerged as a very mature leader. They (the BJP) can no longer ignore him," Desai said.

said the has broken many myths on the caste system in the state.

"This verdict has shown that the caste system is as prevalent in as it is in any other state of the country. Earlier, the possibility was that the caste preferences were overshadowed by the influence," Jani, a of University, said.

"In the rural areas, the caste factor has played a decisive role as it is seen in the gains made by the party. While in urban areas Hinduvta has eclipsed the caste factor and the has won," he said, referring to the role played by three caste leaders -- Hardik Patel, Jignesh Mevani and Alpesh Thakor -- in the polls.

"The results also show that urban middle class and the are inseparable. Ideology of the is the main factor attracting the urban middle class and urban upper-middle class appeared to be the trend setters," he said.

Jani also feels that the minorities and women have not got enough representation in the Assembly.

"Just three Muslims and 13 women candidates have been elected. This shows that every section is not properly represented in the elections," he said.

"The challenge for the will be to perform and keep an edge over rivals as people have sounded out a warning," Jani said.

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Tue, December 19 2017. 19:45 IST