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  • Paris (AFP) - 12/12/2017 - 08:14

    France's Unibail-Rodamco to buy Australia's Westfield: statement

  • Washington (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 23:11

    Trump wants Congress to fix 'lax' immigration after NY attack

  • Sydney (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 23:10

    ANZ Bank sells life insurance arm to Zurich for US$2.14 bn

  • Washington (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 21:25

    Trump tells NASA to send Americans to Moon

  • New York (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 18:34

    Apple to buy song recognition app Shazam

  • London (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 17:05

    Brexit deal shows UK can leave EU in 'smooth and orderly' way: May

  • United Nations (United States) (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 15:55

    China fails to block UN meeting on North Korea human rights

  • New York (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 15:25

    Four hurt in New York explosion, none life-threatening

  • Paris (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 15:11

    Man held over jihadist murders of French police couple

  • Cairo (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 15:11

    Putin calls for Mideast talks to resume, including on Jerusalem

  • Los Angeles (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 14:55

    'The Shape of Water' leads Golden Globe nominations with seven

  • Cairo (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 14:35

    Cairo, Moscow sign contract for Egypt's first nuclear plant

  • New York (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 14:03

    Police responding to explosion of 'unknown origin' in Manhattan

  • Moscow (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 11:18

    Putin orders partial withdrawal of Russian troops from Syria: agencies

  • New Delhi (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 11:10

    India's Congress party names Rahul Gandhi president

  • Moscow (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 11:06

    Putin in surprise visit to Russia's airbase in Syria

  • Riyadh (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 09:43

    Saudi Arabia lifts ban on cinemas: government

  • Brussels (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 08:50

    Recognising Jerusalem as Israel's capital 'makes peace possible': Netanyahu

  • Brussels (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 08:46

    EU's Mogherini condemns 'all attacks on Jews everywhere'

  • Manila (Philippines) (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 05:35

    Philippines' Duterte seeks martial law extension for south

  • New York (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 00:28

    Bitcoin makes stock exchange debut at $15,000 Bitcoin makes debut on major stock exchange at $15,000 per unit Bitcoin makes debut on major stock exchange at $15,000 per unit

  • Caracas (AFP) - 12/11/2017 - 00:11

    Main opposition parties barred from next presidential vote: Venezuela's Maduro

  • Jerusalem (AFP) - 12/10/2017 - 21:49

    Palestinians 'walking away' from talks with Pence snub: US

  • Doha (AFP) - 12/10/2017 - 18:20

    Qatar signs $8-bln deal to buy 24 Typhoon fighters from UK

  • Paris (AFP) - 12/10/2017 - 17:24

    Macron urges Netanyahu to freeze Israeli settlement building

  • Paris (AFP) - 12/10/2017 - 17:08

    Netanyahu accuses Erdogan of helping 'terrorists'

  • Paris (AFP) - 12/10/2017 - 17:03

    Macron urges Netanyahu to show 'courage' with Palestinians

  • Aden (AFP) - 12/10/2017 - 16:22

    Air raids on Yemen rebel training camp kill 26: security sources

  • Calais (France) (AFP) - 12/10/2017 - 14:24

    Ferry runs aground at France's Calais port: official

  • Vatican City (AFP) - 12/10/2017 - 13:33

    Pope renews call for 'wisdom and prudence' over Jerusalem: Vatican

  • Istanbul (AFP) - 12/10/2017 - 13:13

    Erdogan calls Israel 'terrorist state'

  • Paris (AFP) - 12/10/2017 - 12:57

    Major recall of Lactalis baby milk over salmonella fears

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    Israel says demolishes tunnel from Gaza into its territory

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    US hails end of IS 'vile occupation' in Iraq

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    Egypt's Coptic Pope rejects Pence meeting over Jerusalem: statement

  • Ramallah (Palestinian Territories) (AFP) - 12/09/2017 - 13:03

    Palestinian president will not meet Pence: adviser

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    Israel strike kills 2 Palestinians: Gaza officials

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ECB to play up eurozone strength at steady-as-she-goes meeting

AFP/File / Daniel Roland Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), warned at his last press conference in October that inflation would likely fall back over the winter, before recovering in early 2018

The European Central Bank will highlight economic strength in the eurozone in new forecasts Thursday, analysts expect, while avoiding spooking markets with talk of further cuts to its massive support for the economy.

ECB economic growth forecasts could be in for an upgrade this week, after the European Commission last month sharply lifted its predictions to a 2.2 percent expansion in 2017, the fastest pace in a decade.

Brussels predicts the 19-nation currency area will go on to add some 2.1 percent in 2018 and 1.9 percent in 2019.

Thursday will also bring the first look at the central bank's growth and inflation expectations for 2020.

While economic expansion has accelerated in recent months -- notching up 0.6 percent quarter-on-quarter between July and September -- inflation remains stubbornly short of the ECB target of just below 2.0 percent.

Policymakers at the Frankfurt institution agreed in October to slash its mass bond-buying from 60 billion euros ($71 billion) per month to 30 billion from January, as signs of recovery in the single currency area multiplied.

Along with historic low interest rates and cheap loans to banks, government and corporate bond purchases are designed to pump cash through the financial system and into the real economy of businesses and households, powering economic growth and inflation.

But price growth in the 19-nation single currency area slowed slightly to 1.4 percent in October, according to figures released just after the ECB's cutback in bond-buying.

Central bank president Mario Draghi warned at his last press conference in October that inflation would likely fall back over the winter, before recovering in early 2018.

"It is far from clear that the ECB's previously stated conditions of a self-sustaining and widespread rise have been met," Capital Economics analyst Jennifer McKeown pointed out.

Until inflation is obviously on track to meet the target most policymakers are loath to hint at further reducing their support to the economy or raising interest rates.

Doing so could boost the euro against other currencies, braking price growth by making imports cheaper and slowing economic growth by increasing prices for eurozone products abroad.

On Thursday, Draghi "will be reluctant to give any signals about future monetary policy that might prompt the currency to rise sharply again" as it did after an unusually upbeat speech in June, McKeown said.

- Inflation puzzle -

Like other major central banks, the ECB has been frustrated by economic growth failing to haul inflation up in its wake.

Earlier this year, Draghi said that higher wages would be the "linchpin" of increased prices.

For now, upward pressure on pay is weak as there are still reserves of people unemployed or eager to move from part-time to full-time hours, limiting workers' bargaining power.

Unemployment in the eurozone fell to 8.8 percent in October, its lowest level since January 2009.

Looking ahead to 2018, "another convincing year for the economy could put Europe in a totally new position," JP Morgan chief economist Bruce Kasman told German newspaper the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung.

If unemployment falls further and "core" inflation -- excluding volatile food and energy prices -- returns to an upward path, the ECB "could see a need to move" by further cutting bond-buying and ultimately increasing interest rates, he added.

"Raising interest rates wouldn't inevitably have a disruptive effect, but for now markets are very content and far from expecting interest rates to be normalised" from their present levels around or below zero, Kasman said.

That means "the bank will continue to stress for some time yet that interest rates will be kept on hold until well after asset purchases have ended," Capital Economics' McKeown said.

Any new announcements could be limited to racking up more corporate bonds on the ECB's shopping list, she added, as the central bank approaches limits on how much government debt it is allowed to hold.

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ECB to play up eurozone strength at steady-as-she-goes meeting

AFP/File / Daniel Roland Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), warned at his last press conference in October that inflation would likely fall back over the winter, before recovering in early 2018

The European Central Bank will highlight economic strength in the eurozone in new forecasts Thursday, analysts expect, while avoiding spooking markets with talk of further cuts to its massive support for the economy.

ECB economic growth forecasts could be in for an upgrade this week, after the European Commission last month sharply lifted its predictions to a 2.2 percent expansion in 2017, the fastest pace in a decade.

Brussels predicts the 19-nation currency area will go on to add some 2.1 percent in 2018 and 1.9 percent in 2019.

Thursday will also bring the first look at the central bank's growth and inflation expectations for 2020.

While economic expansion has accelerated in recent months -- notching up 0.6 percent quarter-on-quarter between July and September -- inflation remains stubbornly short of the ECB target of just below 2.0 percent.

Policymakers at the Frankfurt institution agreed in October to slash its mass bond-buying from 60 billion euros ($71 billion) per month to 30 billion from January, as signs of recovery in the single currency area multiplied.

Along with historic low interest rates and cheap loans to banks, government and corporate bond purchases are designed to pump cash through the financial system and into the real economy of businesses and households, powering economic growth and inflation.

But price growth in the 19-nation single currency area slowed slightly to 1.4 percent in October, according to figures released just after the ECB's cutback in bond-buying.

Central bank president Mario Draghi warned at his last press conference in October that inflation would likely fall back over the winter, before recovering in early 2018.

"It is far from clear that the ECB's previously stated conditions of a self-sustaining and widespread rise have been met," Capital Economics analyst Jennifer McKeown pointed out.

Until inflation is obviously on track to meet the target most policymakers are loath to hint at further reducing their support to the economy or raising interest rates.

Doing so could boost the euro against other currencies, braking price growth by making imports cheaper and slowing economic growth by increasing prices for eurozone products abroad.

On Thursday, Draghi "will be reluctant to give any signals about future monetary policy that might prompt the currency to rise sharply again" as it did after an unusually upbeat speech in June, McKeown said.

- Inflation puzzle -

Like other major central banks, the ECB has been frustrated by economic growth failing to haul inflation up in its wake.

Earlier this year, Draghi said that higher wages would be the "linchpin" of increased prices.

For now, upward pressure on pay is weak as there are still reserves of people unemployed or eager to move from part-time to full-time hours, limiting workers' bargaining power.

Unemployment in the eurozone fell to 8.8 percent in October, its lowest level since January 2009.

Looking ahead to 2018, "another convincing year for the economy could put Europe in a totally new position," JP Morgan chief economist Bruce Kasman told German newspaper the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung.

If unemployment falls further and "core" inflation -- excluding volatile food and energy prices -- returns to an upward path, the ECB "could see a need to move" by further cutting bond-buying and ultimately increasing interest rates, he added.

"Raising interest rates wouldn't inevitably have a disruptive effect, but for now markets are very content and far from expecting interest rates to be normalised" from their present levels around or below zero, Kasman said.

That means "the bank will continue to stress for some time yet that interest rates will be kept on hold until well after asset purchases have ended," Capital Economics' McKeown said.

Any new announcements could be limited to racking up more corporate bonds on the ECB's shopping list, she added, as the central bank approaches limits on how much government debt it is allowed to hold.

AFP/File / Daniel Roland Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), warned at his last press conference in October that inflation would likely fall back over the winter, before recovering in early 2018

The European Central Bank will highlight economic strength in the eurozone in new forecasts Thursday, analysts expect, while avoiding spooking markets with talk of further cuts to its massive support for the economy.

ECB economic growth forecasts could be in for an upgrade this week, after the European Commission last month sharply lifted its predictions to a 2.2 percent expansion in 2017, the fastest pace in a decade.

12 Dec 2017

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