Here we go:
1. The surging Bucks, at a crossroads
Here come the Bucks, 9-4 since acquiring Eric Bledsoe, with a new starting five outscoring opponents by a gargantuan 17 points per 100 possessions. They were right to dismiss the concerns over pairing Giannis Antetokounmpo with another so-so shooter who needs the ball.
Spacing can make up for a talent gap, but only so much. Talent wins. Bledsoe adds a needed dynamism in the half court and in transition:
Antetokounmpo is a nightmare cutting along the baseline, but he can't leverage that skill without another ball handler dangerous enough to draw attention.
The Bucks are good. Their easiest path to something better: improving a defense that ranks just below league average despite a legit Defensive Player of the Year candidate in Antetokounmpo, wrecking stuff all over the floor.
Jason Kidd has softened Milwaukee's much-criticized, hyper-aggressive trapping scheme over the past 10 games, but the tweaks have appeared haphazard and inconsistent. Smart teams still bait Milwaukee into trapping, with a well-placed release valve at the ready:
Kidd has recently switched more with his non-centers, and the roster is tailor-made for that. He even used Antetokounmpo as a small-ball center against Boston this week, and that represents the most intriguing future version of the Bucks once Jabari Parker returns. (Parker is flawed, but it's sooooo tempting to imagine him on this team. Opponents are destroying Milwaukee when both Bledsoe and Antetokounmpo sit, and the Bucks shift Khris Middleton to power forward. That would be Parker's time. For now, Kidd might consider staggering Bledsoe and Antetokounmpo a bit more.)
The tweaks don't need to be that extreme; stopping at the point of the screen can be enough, and the Bucks have done that now and then:
Milwaukee's scheme at its most frenzied amounts to chasing perfection: swarm everywhere, and snuff everything until the shot clock dies. When the scheme works, it looks impenetrable. Kidd is not the only coach who favors that approach over a more conservative, drop-back system that might yield midrange jumpers. Doc Rivers has discussed the need for a stop-everything scheme against great teams in the postseason.
But the league has changed so much during Kidd's tenure in Milwaukee. Teams launch so many more 3s. They take the first semi-open triple instead of forcing extra passes Milwaukee once swiped for turnovers. Opponents have learned how to pass over and around the traps for dunks; no team allows more shots at the rim than the Bucks, per Cleaning The Glass. Perfect can be the enemy of good.
It will be fascinating to watch how they evolve.
Milwaukee will investigate DeAndre Jordan, and that is another future version of this team: Antetokounmpo running pick-and-roll with a lob dunker, shooters surrounding them.
That would also require something of a stylistic overhaul; Kidd has favored a more egalitarian motion offense, with cuts and handoffs swirling around the elbows.
The Bucks can't pay all of Antetokounmpo, Bledsoe, Parker, Middleton, Tony Snell, and Jordan. They almost certainly can't get Jordan without giving up one of their good and expensive rotation guys, anyway. (I would be very surprised if they flipped Parker for Jordan, to be clear.)
Milwaukee faces some major choices over the next seven months.
2. Eric Gordon, out of a cannon
Can people get faster as they age? Gordon is accelerating from 0-to-60 like Usain Bolt springing from the starting block. His aggression is almost alarming -- violent, even.
There is no hesitation. If Gordon sees a larger human in his way, he speeds up, plows into that defender, and lays the ball in.
Big guys mark their territory with a macho arrogance. Gordon proceeds as if they should be scared of him.
Gordon's jumper has been off, but it will come. Meanwhile, he's shooting 69 percent at the basket, his best mark in a half-decade, and zooming there almost at will.
Gordon is averaging about 13 drives per 100 possessions, up from 9.6 last season, per Second Spectrum data.
Houston is pouring in 1.28 points per possession on any trip featuring a Gordon drive, 11th among 139 players who have recorded at least 75 drives, according to Second Spectrum. (For the morbidly curious: Justin Holiday, Kris Dunn, and Denzel Valentine comprise three of the bottom five on that list, with Valentine bringing up the rear. Go Bulls! At the top, LeBron James, Stephen Curry, and Courtney Lee -- Courtney Lee! -- are in a three-way tie.)
Houston is obliterating teams with Gordon on the floor. He has been the perfect tag-team partner for both James Harden and Chris Paul, entering whenever one needs a blow. Those three have logged just 21 minutes together, eight of those coming Thursday night against Utah. Is that a signal Mike D'Antoni may be ready for a deeper look at that trio?
Run those three with Trevor Ariza and any leftover rotation guy, and opposing defenses have no chance. PJ Tucker and Luc Mbah a Moute, switching stalwarts on defense, have shot well enough that D'Antoni hasn't had to reach for offense. That is good for Houston. But the Gordon-Paul-Harden trio can survive on defense against a lot of hybrid starter-bench lineups.
3. Lance Stephenson, showman
Stephenson has turned every mundane act of basketball into a piece of flair. He doesn't just dribble up the court. He gallops and prances, sometimes literally jumping mid-dribble, so that both his feet are in the air, kicking in opposite directions.
Every pass can be a no-look pass if you will it. And if it wasn't really a no-look pass, jerk your head away from the target anyway, so it carries the same pizzazz.
Stephenson is screaming after almost every made basket. He's launching insane hit-ahead outlet passes, because why in the hell not? After leading one recent successful fast break, Stephenson stopped to strum an air guitar -- or maybe pluck a bass, it was hard to tell -- as the game was still going on.
When a teammate swings Stephenson the ball, he doesn't just shoot or drive. That would be boring. He palms the ball, and lifts it above his head with one hand in what is supposed to be a pump fake. If that doesn't work, he'll jut it out to his side -- a taunting pass fake. He might even poke the ball toward his defender's head as a rude scare tactic.
Stephenson is part basketball player, part public art installation.
And it's all kind of working. Stephenson has hit 39 percent from deep since Nov. 1. He's shooting well from midrange. Indy has played teams close to even with Stephenson on the floor over the past 20 games -- progress after an ugly start.
Stephenson can play alongside any of Indy's perimeter players, and even guard some power forwards when the Pacers downsize. His antics juice up the crowd, and his teammates.