Brexit could be as bad for Britain as 2008 Credit Crunch: David Davis in SHOCK admission

IF Brexit is not handled properly the impact on the British economy could be as bad as the 2008 credit crunch David Davis warned today.

The Brexit Secretary – nominally a cheerleader for Britain’s Brexit decision - said leaving the EU would  amount to a 'paradigm change' comparable with the financial slump which rocked the UK and world economies a decade ago.

He made the claim as he answered Brexit select committee questions on why no impact assessments on leaving the EU had been carried out by Whitehall.

Mr Davis likened the Brexit paradigm change to the Credit Crunch paradigm change – which turned economic models on their head and proved almost all economic forecasters wrong. 

He used that example to explain why Whitehall had not carried out Brexit impact assessments on the possible economic impact of quitting the EU.

He said: “I'm not a fan of economic models because they have all proven wrong. 

“When you have a paradigm change - as happened in 2008 with the financial crisis - all the models were wrong. The Queen famously asked why did we not know.

David DavisBBC

MPs have accused Mr Davis of being either 'dishonest or incompetent'

“Similarly, what we are dealing with here in every outcome - whether it is a free trade agreement, whether it is a WTO outcome or whether it is something between that on the spectrum - it is a paradigm change.

“We know not the size, but the order of magnitude of the impact.

“You don't need to do a formal impact assessment to understand that if there is a regulatory hurdle between your producers and a market, there will be an impact.

“It will have an effect, the assessment of that effect is not as straightforward as people imagine.”

Mr Davis had previously argued against releasing the full detail of Brexit impact assessments, arguing they could damage the UK's hand in negotiations with the EU.

Meanwhile the Commons Select Committee on Exiting the EU has repeatedly demanded access to the documents on how Brexit will affect different sectors of the UK economy.

Now the minister has revealed no such documents exist, despite saying just last month the “sectoral analysis” was “contained in a range of documents”.

Speaking before the committee, Chairman Hilary Benn said: "So just to be clear, has the Government undertaken any impact assessments on the implications of leaving the EU on different sectors of the UK economy?

Mr Davis replied: “not on sectors…there’s no systematic assessment of the impact".

Asked by Hilary Benn to clarify his answer as to whether impact assessments existed, Mr Davis added: “no”.

Mr Benn added: "So the Government hasn’t undertaken any impact assessments of implications of leaving the EU for different sectors of the British economy. So there isn’t one, for example, on the Automotive sector?”

David Davis said: "No, not that I’m aware of no."

Mr Benn asked: “Is there one on aerospace?”

Mr Davis replied: “Not that I’m aware of no

Mr Benn continued: “One on financial services?"

The Brexit secretary added: “Well I think the answer is going to be no to all of them.”

David DavisBBC

Mr Davis admitted there had been no sector-by-sector analysis

We've got 50 - nearly 60 - sectoral analyses already done

David Davis – June 25

Mr Davis has long made reference to the documents, telling Andrew Marr in June: "In my job I don't think out loud and I don't make guesses.

"Those two things. I try and make decisions. You make those based on the data.

"That data is being gathered. We've got 50 - nearly 60 - sectoral analyses already done"

The Brexiteer went on to tell the committee the "usefulness of such a detailed impact assessment is near zero" arguing that creating them "was not a sensible use of resources."

Mr Benn, a Labour MP, went on to confront Mr Davis with previous statements he had made about the existence of the documents

He said: "Well if you’re saying the usefulness of that is near zero, why did you tell the Foreign Affairs Committee on the 13th of September 2016, and I quote, ‘There is the sectoral analysis, we are working through about 50 cross-cutting sectors what is going to happen to them.'

"That sounds like an impact assessment to me.

"What did Lord Bridges of Headley mean, when he told the House of Lords EU internal subcommittee on the 13th of October 2016, when he said ‘we have segmented the UK economy into roughly 100 production sectors, we have looked at those to understand the size and contribution that each of these sectors makes to the economy, and used that to support our analysis of the impact on them of Brexit'.

"Now that sounds very clear to me that the Government has been looking at the impact on individual sectors and yet you told us a moment ago that you haven’t done that yet.

"Either it has happened or it hasn’t."

Mr Davis went on to defend the prior comments, arguing "Just because you use the word impact doesn’t make it an impact assessment"

The comments have evoked anger from MPs, who had long been attempting to gain access to the non-existent documents.

Hillary BennBBC

Hillary Benn dogged the Brexit minister over his previous comments

SNP MP Joanna Cherry Tweeted: ”So David Davis has just told the Brexit Select Committee that no impact assessments exist. 

“I repeat. UK Govt has carried out no impact assessments re economic effects of Brexit.”

Seema Malhotra, MP for Feltham and Heston, added: “David Davis has just admitted that the Government have not conducted a single economic impact assessment on the impact to Brexit to our economy. 

“Staggering. A dereliction of duty.”

Bill Esterton, MP for Sefton Central, said Mr Davis had either been dishonest or incompetent.

He wrote: “Did he know that the impact assessments didn’t exist when he said they did? 

“It was either incredibly incompetent or incredibly dishonest. 

“Either way, how is Davis still in his job?”

Brexit could be as bad for Britain as 2008 Credit Crunch: David Davis in SHOCK admission

IF Brexit is not handled properly the impact on the British economy could be as bad as the 2008 credit crunch David Davis warned today.

The Brexit Secretary – nominally a cheerleader for Britain’s Brexit decision - said leaving the EU would  amount to a 'paradigm change' comparable with the financial slump which rocked the UK and world economies a decade ago.

He made the claim as he answered Brexit select committee questions on why no impact assessments on leaving the EU had been carried out by Whitehall.

Mr Davis likened the Brexit paradigm change to the Credit Crunch paradigm change – which turned economic models on their head and proved almost all economic forecasters wrong. 

He used that example to explain why Whitehall had not carried out Brexit impact assessments on the possible economic impact of quitting the EU.

He said: “I'm not a fan of economic models because they have all proven wrong. 

“When you have a paradigm change - as happened in 2008 with the financial crisis - all the models were wrong. The Queen famously asked why did we not know.

David DavisBBC

MPs have accused Mr Davis of being either 'dishonest or incompetent'

“Similarly, what we are dealing with here in every outcome - whether it is a free trade agreement, whether it is a WTO outcome or whether it is something between that on the spectrum - it is a paradigm change.

“We know not the size, but the order of magnitude of the impact.

“You don't need to do a formal impact assessment to understand that if there is a regulatory hurdle between your producers and a market, there will be an impact.

“It will have an effect, the assessment of that effect is not as straightforward as people imagine.”

Mr Davis had previously argued against releasing the full detail of Brexit impact assessments, arguing they could damage the UK's hand in negotiations with the EU.

Meanwhile the Commons Select Committee on Exiting the EU has repeatedly demanded access to the documents on how Brexit will affect different sectors of the UK economy.

Now the minister has revealed no such documents exist, despite saying just last month the “sectoral analysis” was “contained in a range of documents”.

Speaking before the committee, Chairman Hilary Benn said: "So just to be clear, has the Government undertaken any impact assessments on the implications of leaving the EU on different sectors of the UK economy?

Mr Davis replied: “not on sectors…there’s no systematic assessment of the impact".

Asked by Hilary Benn to clarify his answer as to whether impact assessments existed, Mr Davis added: “no”.

Mr Benn added: "So the Government hasn’t undertaken any impact assessments of implications of leaving the EU for different sectors of the British economy. So there isn’t one, for example, on the Automotive sector?”

David Davis said: "No, not that I’m aware of no."

Mr Benn asked: “Is there one on aerospace?”

Mr Davis replied: “Not that I’m aware of no

Mr Benn continued: “One on financial services?"

The Brexit secretary added: “Well I think the answer is going to be no to all of them.”

David DavisBBC

Mr Davis admitted there had been no sector-by-sector analysis

We've got 50 - nearly 60 - sectoral analyses already done

David Davis – June 25

Mr Davis has long made reference to the documents, telling Andrew Marr in June: "In my job I don't think out loud and I don't make guesses.

"Those two things. I try and make decisions. You make those based on the data.

"That data is being gathered. We've got 50 - nearly 60 - sectoral analyses already done"

The Brexiteer went on to tell the committee the "usefulness of such a detailed impact assessment is near zero" arguing that creating them "was not a sensible use of resources."

Mr Benn, a Labour MP, went on to confront Mr Davis with previous statements he had made about the existence of the documents

He said: "Well if you’re saying the usefulness of that is near zero, why did you tell the Foreign Affairs Committee on the 13th of September 2016, and I quote, ‘There is the sectoral analysis, we are working through about 50 cross-cutting sectors what is going to happen to them.'

"That sounds like an impact assessment to me.

"What did Lord Bridges of Headley mean, when he told the House of Lords EU internal subcommittee on the 13th of October 2016, when he said ‘we have segmented the UK economy into roughly 100 production sectors, we have looked at those to understand the size and contribution that each of these sectors makes to the economy, and used that to support our analysis of the impact on them of Brexit'.

"Now that sounds very clear to me that the Government has been looking at the impact on individual sectors and yet you told us a moment ago that you haven’t done that yet.

"Either it has happened or it hasn’t."

Mr Davis went on to defend the prior comments, arguing "Just because you use the word impact doesn’t make it an impact assessment"

The comments have evoked anger from MPs, who had long been attempting to gain access to the non-existent documents.

Hillary BennBBC

Hillary Benn dogged the Brexit minister over his previous comments

SNP MP Joanna Cherry Tweeted: ”So David Davis has just told the Brexit Select Committee that no impact assessments exist. 

“I repeat. UK Govt has carried out no impact assessments re economic effects of Brexit.”

Seema Malhotra, MP for Feltham and Heston, added: “David Davis has just admitted that the Government have not conducted a single economic impact assessment on the impact to Brexit to our economy. 

“Staggering. A dereliction of duty.”

Bill Esterton, MP for Sefton Central, said Mr Davis had either been dishonest or incompetent.

He wrote: “Did he know that the impact assessments didn’t exist when he said they did? 

“It was either incredibly incompetent or incredibly dishonest. 

“Either way, how is Davis still in his job?”

Brexit could be as bad for Britain as 2008 Credit Crunch: David Davis in SHOCK admission

IF Brexit is not handled properly the impact on the British economy could be as bad as the 2008 credit crunch David Davis warned today.

The Brexit Secretary – nominally a cheerleader for Britain’s Brexit decision - said leaving the EU would  amount to a 'paradigm change' comparable with the financial slump which rocked the UK and world economies a decade ago.

He made the claim as he answered Brexit select committee questions on why no impact assessments on leaving the EU had been carried out by Whitehall.

Mr Davis likened the Brexit paradigm change to the Credit Crunch paradigm change – which turned economic models on their head and proved almost all economic forecasters wrong. 

He used that example to explain why Whitehall had not carried out Brexit impact assessments on the possible economic impact of quitting the EU.

He said: “I'm not a fan of economic models because they have all proven wrong. 

“When you have a paradigm change - as happened in 2008 with the financial crisis - all the models were wrong. The Queen famously asked why did we not know.

David DavisBBC

MPs have accused Mr Davis of being either 'dishonest or incompetent'

“Similarly, what we are dealing with here in every outcome - whether it is a free trade agreement, whether it is a WTO outcome or whether it is something between that on the spectrum - it is a paradigm change.

“We know not the size, but the order of magnitude of the impact.

“You don't need to do a formal impact assessment to understand that if there is a regulatory hurdle between your producers and a market, there will be an impact.

“It will have an effect, the assessment of that effect is not as straightforward as people imagine.”

Mr Davis had previously argued against releasing the full detail of Brexit impact assessments, arguing they could damage the UK's hand in negotiations with the EU.

Meanwhile the Commons Select Committee on Exiting the EU has repeatedly demanded access to the documents on how Brexit will affect different sectors of the UK economy.

Now the minister has revealed no such documents exist, despite saying just last month the “sectoral analysis” was “contained in a range of documents”.

Speaking before the committee, Chairman Hilary Benn said: "So just to be clear, has the Government undertaken any impact assessments on the implications of leaving the EU on different sectors of the UK economy?

Mr Davis replied: “not on sectors…there’s no systematic assessment of the impact".

Asked by Hilary Benn to clarify his answer as to whether impact assessments existed, Mr Davis added: “no”.

Mr Benn added: "So the Government hasn’t undertaken any impact assessments of implications of leaving the EU for different sectors of the British economy. So there isn’t one, for example, on the Automotive sector?”

David Davis said: "No, not that I’m aware of no."

Mr Benn asked: “Is there one on aerospace?”

Mr Davis replied: “Not that I’m aware of no

Mr Benn continued: “One on financial services?"

The Brexit secretary added: “Well I think the answer is going to be no to all of them.”

David DavisBBC

Mr Davis admitted there had been no sector-by-sector analysis

We've got 50 - nearly 60 - sectoral analyses already done

David Davis – June 25

Mr Davis has long made reference to the documents, telling Andrew Marr in June: "In my job I don't think out loud and I don't make guesses.

"Those two things. I try and make decisions. You make those based on the data.

"That data is being gathered. We've got 50 - nearly 60 - sectoral analyses already done"

The Brexiteer went on to tell the committee the "usefulness of such a detailed impact assessment is near zero" arguing that creating them "was not a sensible use of resources."

Mr Benn, a Labour MP, went on to confront Mr Davis with previous statements he had made about the existence of the documents

He said: "Well if you’re saying the usefulness of that is near zero, why did you tell the Foreign Affairs Committee on the 13th of September 2016, and I quote, ‘There is the sectoral analysis, we are working through about 50 cross-cutting sectors what is going to happen to them.'

"That sounds like an impact assessment to me.

"What did Lord Bridges of Headley mean, when he told the House of Lords EU internal subcommittee on the 13th of October 2016, when he said ‘we have segmented the UK economy into roughly 100 production sectors, we have looked at those to understand the size and contribution that each of these sectors makes to the economy, and used that to support our analysis of the impact on them of Brexit'.

"Now that sounds very clear to me that the Government has been looking at the impact on individual sectors and yet you told us a moment ago that you haven’t done that yet.

"Either it has happened or it hasn’t."

Mr Davis went on to defend the prior comments, arguing "Just because you use the word impact doesn’t make it an impact assessment"

The comments have evoked anger from MPs, who had long been attempting to gain access to the non-existent documents.

Hillary BennBBC

Hillary Benn dogged the Brexit minister over his previous comments

SNP MP Joanna Cherry Tweeted: ”So David Davis has just told the Brexit Select Committee that no impact assessments exist. 

“I repeat. UK Govt has carried out no impact assessments re economic effects of Brexit.”

Seema Malhotra, MP for Feltham and Heston, added: “David Davis has just admitted that the Government have not conducted a single economic impact assessment on the impact to Brexit to our economy. 

“Staggering. A dereliction of duty.”

Bill Esterton, MP for Sefton Central, said Mr Davis had either been dishonest or incompetent.

He wrote: “Did he know that the impact assessments didn’t exist when he said they did? 

“It was either incredibly incompetent or incredibly dishonest. 

“Either way, how is Davis still in his job?”

New poll shows over half the UK blames EU for lack of Brexit progress
Dutch MEP claims Irish border 'means Brexit is NOT going to happen' David Davis Brexit News
Europe Brexit EU UK Ireland Northern Ireland Theresa May Arlene Foster reaction

Europe GLOATS over Brexit breakdown as officials claim leaving EU will break UK apart

brexit deal live talks theresa may eu uk talks arlene foster dup ireland irish border

Brexit deal LIVE: DUP says 'NO DEAL' will be done this week - Has May RISKED Brexit for UK

brexit news latest bbc newsnight bias evan davis slammed by Kwasi Kwarteng

'You won't discuss the positives!' Tory MP slams BBC Newsnight over 'negative' Brexit view

brexit news labour single market membership jeremy corbyn keir starmer

Now Keir Starmer wants access to single market - a policy Corbyn SACKED 3 MPs for in June

Brexit Alastair Campbell Tony Blair remain EU referendum BBC

‘F**k BREXIT’ Blair spin doctor Alastair Campbell poses in profane hoody for BBC interview

Theresa May assassination man accused kill Prime Minister plot Westminster Downing Street

BREAKING: Theresa May assassination: Man in court accused of plot to kill PM

Brexit Nicky Morgan Iain Duncan Smith Twitter European Union

Nicky Morgan LOSES it with Iain Duncan Smith over 'screw EU' comments

Black cabs electric cars Wifi USB London Taxi Company

Black cabs go electric with Wi-Fi, USB and new sunroofs

Sir Winston Churchill reading glasses fetch thousands auction Surrey

Winston Churchill's reading glasses to fetch thousands at auction

James Bond 25 release date Daniel Craig Star Wars Han Solo movie Pinewood Studios

James Bond 25 ‘DELAYED by Star Wars reshoots’ Still set for 2019 release date?

I’m A Celebrity 2017 Rebekah Vardy Iain Lee fix tears bullying ITV

I’m A Celebrity 2017: Rebekah Vardy hints show’s ‘FIXED’ as she breaks down over Iain Lee

Snow UK forecast Storm Caroline latest weather warnings

Snow UK forecast LIVE: Storm Caroline to hit Britain in 18 hours – Latest weather warnings

Holly Willoughby Phillip Schofield This Morning blunder titles ITV

Holly Willoughby and Phillip Schofield stunned by epic This Morning blunder: 'Oh my god'

terror attack plot Theresa May ISIS UK news latest London Westminster Downing Street

'Thousands could be KILLED!' Terror expert warns of 'spectacular terrorist attack'

Brexit news Nigel Farage Arlene Foster Brexit deal Northern Ireland DUP UK EU

Nigel Farage praises 'TERRIFIC’ Arlene Foster for playing a ‘HEROIC ROLE’ in Brexit

winter solstice when is shortest day 2017 

When is the Winter Solstice 2017? When is the shortest day of the year?

Brexit news Donald Trump US embassy London Woody Johnson UK EU trade

We're PREPARED! US Ambassador to UK reveals determination to make Brexit successful

Brexit news Brexit deal Irish border UK EU European Union Owen Paterson video

‘EU is STRINGING us along!’ Owen Paterson warns Brussels is making UNACCEPTABLE demands

Brexit news deal talks latest European Union EU Labour Party UK Keir Starmer

Starmer claims Labour are open-minded on soft-Brexit and faces BRUTAL grilling by BBC host

Stacey Flounders Adam Johnson car accident HMP Moorland South Yorkshire Hartlepool

Adam Johnson's ex hurt in car crash on her way to visit paedophile football star in jail

Santa Clause Colin Letchford cancels christmas yob abuse Canvey Island Essex

Yob-hit Santa Claus axes Christmas event at Essex resort

Brexit not going to happen Dutch MEP BBC Newsnight Ireland border David Davis Theresa May

‘Fantastic!’ Dutch MEP claims Irish border plans 'means Brexit is NOT going to happen'

Brexit Theresa May European Union UK Boris Johnson Michael Gove David Davis DUP

Brexit ‘pessimism is more WIDESPREAD’ as over half the UK blames EU for lack of progress

Brexit news latest spain illegal Gibraltar sovereignty EU deal Mariano Rajoy Theresa May

Revealed: Spain's latest illegal Gibraltar land grab being encouraged by EU action

terror plot Theresa May Number 10 Downing Street ISIS attack London Westminster PM

Plot to kill Theresa May: Two men charged as police 'foil plot to blow up Number 10'

german commentator brands brexit political nonsense peter kapern deutschlandfunk

'Political nonsense' German's fury over Brexit amid claims Britain will leave world stage

Rape attack Romanian brothers raped woman UK months after leaving French jail

Romanian brothers with convictions for rape walk into Britain and rape again

Brexit news Keir Starmer Labour party DUP Theresa May UK EU European Union video

'You're NOT helping!' Kay Burley SLAMS Keir Starmer for 'unhelpful' Labour Brexit strategy

brexit latest news iain duncan smith tells eu back off warns theresa may prepare no deal

Duncan Smith: EU need to 'BACK OFF' or UK will exit with NO DEAL and Brussels will suffer

teenage girl sexual harassment online revenge porn unwanted advances

REVEALED: One in THREE teen girls have been sexually harassed online by kids their own age

Brexit news latest BBC host Labour Party UK European Union

'You're not sure?' Shadow Brexit Minister gets a GRILLING over Labour Brexit policy

Brexit news EU Jacob Rees Mogg Ireland Irish border European Union

Jacob Rees-Mogg brilliantly shames Davis: UK should be THANKING the DUP for SAVING Brexit

brexit talks theresa may eu ireland dup irish border trade

Brexit deal LIVE: May STILL not spoken to DUP - Foster blames IRELAND for Brexit mess

State pension military wives 16,000 could lose out £500m

16,000 military wives could be losing out on £500m of state pension, warns Sir Steve Webb

train tickets rail fare rises cruel joke

Train tickets: New rail fare rises branded 'A CRUEL JOKE'

Terrorism Tadesse Kersmo Greenwich University lecturer months terrorist training camp

University lecturer spent months at terrorist training camp in Eritrea

diabetes breakthrough condition reversed diet exercise

Diabetes BREAKTHROUGH: Condition can be REVERSED with simple diet and exercise

terror inquiry terrorism MI5 manchester attack westminster london bridge

Terror inquiry: MI5 'may have stopped attack on Manchester Arena'

scottish NHS failed SNP doctors nurses shortage

Scottish NHS 'failed' by SNP as shortage of doctors and nurses grows

wargrave berkshire a4 bath road two killed including police officer fatal collision

Policeman and woman, 91, die in car and motorbike crash

Reggie Yates Top of the Pops resignation anti-Semitism claims

‘I hurt many people’ Reggie Yates RESIGNS from Top of the Pops after ‘anti-Semitic’ remark

Brexit news latest DUP Northern Ireland Arlene Foster Theresa May EU UK European Union

'We'll PLEASE them!' Tory MP 'confident' DUP will give in to future plans for Brexit

Lily Allen homeless tweet tenant moving out singer stuns tweet

Lily Allen tenant says she IS moving out after singer stuns with homeless tweet

knife sex attack manchester stalybridge country park mother praised for protecting son

'Truly exceptional' - Mother praised for protecting son during knifepoint sex attack

air pollution warning pollution effects unborn children pregnancy pensioners

AIR POLLUTION WARNING: Fumes 'threatening health of unborn babies and pensioners'

britsol bomb squad alert colston road Easton police lockdown bomb disposal

Street on lockdown: Bomb squad deployed as police warn public to stay away

Manchester terror attack MI5 Salman Abedi Amber Rudd, Diane Abbott police

Manchester terror attack: MI5 'might have stopped suicide bomber' - shock report reveals

Jon Venables new identity child killer 'revealed online' investigation launched

Investigation launched after new identity of child killer Jon Venables 'revealed online'

Led Zeppelin Robert Plant Baroness Bakewell Winter fuel payment

Led Zeppelin rocker Robert Plant worth £100 MILLION gets £300 OAP winter fuel payment

Pensioner lands full-time job aged 81 impressing bosses work ethic

Pensioner lands full-time job aged 81 after impressing bosses with work ethic

political correctness safe spaces UK terrorism counter-extremism expert

Political correctness and 'safe spaces' foster UK terrorism says counter extremism expert

Sturgeon challenges Corbyn theresa may Brexit

Sturgeon challenges Corbyn to help her exploit PM weakness to force change on Brexit

manchester terror attack bomb isis amber rudd london bridge terrorism UK

Manchester suicide bombing could have been avoided, Amber Rudd tells MPs

Brexit news Ireland Irish border European Union Owen Paterson Brussels UK

Britain should tells Brussels NO DEAL and trade under WTO rules: Owen Paterson thanks DUP

chelmsford police station bomb scare package suspect essex news

Chelmsford police station evacuated as bomb squad swoops on suspect package

  • Find us on Facebook
  • Follow us on Twitter
  • Check us on Google+
  • Subscribe to our rss feed