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This Is Why RBI Kept Rates Steady In October Meeting

RBI Governor Urjit Patel stresses on need for more data to assess whether the recent headwinds in GDP growth prints are transient or sustained.
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The RBI's monetary policy committee voted 5-1 to keep the repo rate unchanged, show minutes.
The RBI's monetary policy committee voted 5-1 to keep the repo rate unchanged, show minutes.

Highlights

  1. RBI's committee voted 5-1 to keep the repo rate steady in October
  2. Economic slowdown to be "transitory", the apex bank said
  3. Official data showed inflation held steady at 3.28% in September
Mumbai: Worried that rising consumer prices will threaten the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) inflation target of 4 per cent led the majority of the RBI's monetary policy committee members to vote to keep rates steady, according to minutes issued on Wednesday.

Committee members also said at their October 4 meeting they expected that a slowdown in economic growth to its lowest in more than three years in the June quarter could prove transitory, and it was prudent to wait for more evidence. 

"It is important to recognise near- and medium-term risks to the inflation outlook," RBI Governor Urjit Patel said, according to the minutes of the meeting. 

"There is a need for more data to assess whether the recent headwinds in overall GDP growth prints are transient or sustained."

The RBI's six-member monetary policy committee voted 5-1 to keep the repo rate unchanged at the on October 4 meeting after inflation in August surged to 3.36 per cent from a year earlier - not far off the RBI's 4 per cent target.

However, data after the meeting showed inflation held steady at 3.28% in September, in line with a downwardly revised number for August, although analysts said they expected the repo rate to remain unchanged for now.

 Michael Patra, an executive director of the RBI, reiterated a call made earlier in the year that the central bank even needed to be ready to raise rates, according to the minutes. 
"It is time to be in readiness to raise the policy rate to quell the underlying drivers of inflation if they strengthen further," Patra said.
 

© Thomson Reuters 2017



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