The northeast monsoon this year is most likely to be normal over the south peninsula, according to a bulletin from the Indian Meteorological department.
The forecast outlook released on Tuesday for the northeast monsoon over the south peninsula predicted that the region, including Tamil Nadu, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema, Kerala and south interior Karnataka, would receive between 89% and 111% of the long period average (LPA) rainfall for the region.
The LPA of the monsoon in the region based on data between 1951 and 2000 is 332.1 mm. However, weather enthusiasts in the State were disappointed as there was no specific prediction for Tamil Nadu, which gets 50% of its annual rainfall from the northeast monsoon.
Officials of the meteorological department here noted that the forecast for Tamil Nadu would not have been included as the forecasting models may not have sufficient skill to predict the monsoon.
The northeast monsoon usually sets in around October 20.